Charting A Course:
Responding to the Industry-Related
Instructional Needs of the Limited
English Proficient


Appendix B

Additional Labor Market Information

The information that follows is included in this appendix as substantiation for the recommendations included here.

According to the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS), eight of the thirteen industries losing the largest number of jobs over the last five years fall within the manufacturing sector. Occupations within the staffing patterns of these industries have also seen large net job loss over the last five years. The following chart lists the industries with the greatest net job loss between the first quarter of 1999 and the first quarter of 2004.

NAICS Industry Title 99-04 Percent
Employment
Change
Total
Employment
Change
115 Agriculture & Forestry Support Activities
-83
-162,595
334 Computer & Electronic Product Mfg
Manufacturing
-32
-52,442
315 Apparel Manufacturing
-70
-26,529
332 Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing
-15
-18,995
445 Food & Beverage Stores
-9
-18,692
517 Telecommunications
-12
-13,331
325 Chemical Manufacturing
-14
-12,622
323 Printing & Related Support Activities
-20
-9,165
333 Machinery Manufacturing
-11
-8,965
336 Transportation Equipment Manufacturing
-9
-8,683
321 Wood Product Manufacturing
-25
-8,522
211 Oil & Gas Extraction
-12
-8,069
326 Plastics & Rubber Products Manufacturing
-15
-7,709

While occupations associated with these industries are declining, as are those within other industries that have had large negative percent changes in employment, occupations in health care and computer software fields are projected to grow the most by the year 2012.  

Six of the ten fastest growing occupations in the nation will be in health-related fields and three will be in information technology-related fields. Given the increasing parallel nature of the Texas and U.S. economies, projected occupational growth in Texas will largely mirror these national growth patterns. The following chart depicts the occupations expected to grow the fastest by the year 2012.

Occupation Title Percentage
Growth Rate
Medical Assistants
59
Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts
57
Physician Assistants
49
Social and Human Service Assistants
49
Home Health Aides
48
Medical Records and Health Information Technicians
47
Physical Therapist Aides
46
Computer Software Engineers, Applications
46
Computer Software Engineers, Systems Software
45
Physical Therapist Assistants
45

Average National Projected Growth Rate by the Year 2012 of the Top Ten Fastest Growing Occupations

49.2

Industrial and Occupational Demand for Skilled Workers

The need for workers will continue to occur in industries with the greatest replacement demand and in the industries that are expanding and adding new jobs, even where “churning” within businesses causes shifts in job duties, as well as in the skill sets associated with those newly created or altered jobs. The following table shows the current employment strength in the top ten largest NAICS industries:

NAICS Industry Title Third Quarter 2004
Employment
62 Health Care & Social Assistance
1,118,398
44 Retail Trade
1,087,639
61 Educational Services
974,353
31 Manufacturing
895,571
72 Accommodation & Food Services
789,864
56 Administrative, Support, Waste Services
596,206
23 Construction
579,629
42 Wholesale Trade
467,021
54 Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services
464,934
52 Finance & Insurance
416,687

The top five industries currently have a large employment base and are also expected to be the five industries in Texas experiencing the most net new job growth during the 2002 to 2012 time period.
The following chart depicts the preliminary projections for the top five NAICS industries expected to add the greatest number of net new jobs by the year 2012. Each of these industries but one, retailt, also falls within the top six industries projected to grow at the fastest rate in the state by 2012.

NAICS Industry Title 2002 Total
Employment
2012 Projected
Employment
Total
Change
Percentage
Growth Rate
62 Health Care & Social Assistance
1,025,200
1,375,000
349,800
34.1
61 Educational Services
1,010,750
1,307,950
297,200
29.4
44 Retail Trade
1,083,550
1,237,950
154,400
14.2
56 Administrative, Support, Waste
Management, & Remediation
Services
549,850
691,850
142,000
25.8
54 Professional, Scientific, &
Technical Services
451,200
560,650
109,450
24.3

Occupational growth will also occur within the industry staffing patterns of these industries, adding the most jobs in Texas. Again, given the increasingly homogenous nature of the Texas and U.S. economies, Texas occupational job growth is expected to be consistent with that of the national economy, including the top four occupations adding the greatest total number of new jobs by 2012.
Another analysis of jobs critical to the state’s economy involves identifying occupations with the greatest number of projected new job openings due to growth and high replacement demand for existing jobs. Those occupations that are predicted to experience at least 50 percent net new job growth and that have the greatest replacement demand are critical in terms of high volumes of job openings to be filled. The following occupations are included in the list:

  • Elementary School Teachers
  •  Secondary School Teachers
  • Registered Nurses
  • Child Care Workers
  • General and Operations Managers
  • General Office Clerks
  • Retail Salespersons
  • Cashiers
  • Food Preparation/Serving Workers
  • Waiters/Waitresses
  • Janitors/Cleaners.

Another critical segment of the economy is that of the export industries within the state, in particular those that are increasing their global competitive advantage over time.  Having a skilled workforce to support the addition of any new job growth and the state’s capacity to retain a skilled labor pool for the export industries on the following chart is also crucial to state and regional economic development.

NAICS Industry Title 2001 LQ 2003 LQ Change in LQ
211 Oil and Gas Extraction
7.31
7.40
0.09
316 Leather and Allied Product Manufacturing
1.31
1.39
0.08
327 Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
1.15
1.22
0.07
518 ISPs, Search Portals, and Data Processing
1.23
1.29
0.06
481 Air Transportation
1.75
1.80
0.05
621 Ambulatory Health Care Services
1.19
1.24
0.05
324 Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing
2.87
2.91
0.04
488 Support Activities for Transportation
1.52
1.56
0.04
237 Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
1.49
1.50
0.01
517 Telecommunications
1.37
1.37
0.00
532 Rental and Leasing Services
1.27
1.27
0.00
423 Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods
1.26
1.26
0.00

However, many occupations with the greatest replacement demand and total number of new job openings by 2010 do not fall into the category of the highest wage or highest skilled occupations. The following five occupations are among the top ten occupations in the state projected to have the greatest total number of job openings by 2010 and the highest absolute employment gain by 2010:

  • Retail Salespersons
  • Cashiers
  • General Office Clerks
  • General and Operations Managers
  • Customer Service Representatives